Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.157293 0.184090 0.213565 0.248320 0.288109 0.332163 0.384557
2025-11-09 0.109680 0.144932 0.187998 0.244144 0.315031 0.401142 0.513208
2025-11-16 0.083543 0.121048 0.170621 0.240214 0.334521 0.456885 0.626487
2025-11-23 0.064866 0.101703 0.153759 0.231502 0.343188 0.496079 0.719006
2025-11-30 0.057516 0.096304 0.154230 0.245219 0.382237 0.578003 0.875109
2025-12-07 0.047016 0.083977 0.142230 0.238307 0.389645 0.614809 0.969627
2025-12-14 0.038683 0.073457 0.131110 0.230620 0.394010 0.646276 1.057605
2025-12-21 0.032458 0.065306 0.122420 0.225252 0.400679 0.680852 1.152057
2025-12-28 0.028835 0.061125 0.119713 0.229237 0.422484 0.740394 1.289673
2026-01-04 0.026342 0.058609 0.119501 0.237304 0.451619 0.813731 1.454686
2026-01-11 0.023799 0.055535 0.117769 0.242254 0.475512 0.879858 1.612273
2026-01-18 0.021290 0.052081 0.114791 0.244385 0.494284 0.938326 1.760682
2026-01-25 0.018736 0.048151 0.110462 0.243642 0.508119 0.990071 1.902947
2026-02-01 0.016235 0.043893 0.104882 0.239759 0.515652 1.031257 2.030007
2026-02-08 0.014104 0.040086 0.099677 0.235910 0.522667 1.071731 2.158336
2026-02-15 0.011948 0.035774 0.092695 0.227342 0.519163 1.091861 2.250071
2026-02-22 0.011510 0.035822 0.095673 0.240837 0.562221 1.204303 2.523313
2026-03-01 0.009904 0.032397 0.089944 0.234036 0.561764 1.231424 2.634386
2026-03-08 0.008484 0.029182 0.084221 0.226474 0.558768 1.252976 2.735663
2026-03-15 0.007368 0.026610 0.079714 0.221193 0.560174 1.283360 2.856243
2026-03-22 0.006787 0.025552 0.079005 0.225113 0.582728 1.359177 3.073667
2026-03-29 0.006417 0.025098 0.079859 0.233049 0.615259 1.458255 3.345029
2026-04-05 0.005962 0.024264 0.079541 0.237919 0.640951 1.544316 3.594354